Contact

24/06/2024

Flash boursier

More

24/06/2024

Flash boursier

Key data

 USD/CHFEUR/CHFSMIEURO STOXX 50DAX 30CAC 40FTSE 100S&P 500NASDAQNIKKEIMSCI Emerging Markets
Latest0.890.9612'012.874'907.3018'163.527'628.578'237.725'464.6217'689.3638'596.471'086.93
Trend
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
YTD6.27%2.94%7.86%8.53%8.43%1.13%6.52%14.57%17.84%15.34%6.17%

(values from the Friday preceding publication)

Markets regain their footing

Equity markets recovered from the previous week’s slump following a strong showing by tech stocks.

Bond yields stood still, with the US 10-year yield holding around 4.25% and the German equivalent near to 2.40%.

Last week the Swiss National Bank cut its benchmark policy rate for the second time in a row (to 1.25%), partly to cool off the Swiss franc, which had strengthened on the political uncertainty besetting Europe. However, the SNB only had the leeway to make this rate cut in the first place because inflation had continued to ease on a quarter-on-quarter basis.

The US economy continues to shine. Industrial production recovered in May, rising by 0.9% after stagnating in April. This was better than the consensus, which was looking for an increase of 0.3%.

In addition, the PMI showed that business activity has continued to expand in June, at a stronger pace than expected. The S&P Global Services Index for this month rose to 55.1, its highest level since April 2022.

In contrast, consumers continue to feel the pinch, as shown by retail sales, which rose by only 0.1% month-on-month in May. Excluding the automotive sector (vehicles and parts), which tends to be volatile, retail sales dipped by 0.1% last month, which was the same as in April.

Initial jobless claims were slightly higher than forecast, but this does not represent a significant deterioration.

Eurozone inflation was higher in May on a 12-month basis. The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) was 2.6% versus 2.4% in April. Month-on-month inflation remained at 0.2% in May, in line with forecasts. 

A slowdown can be seen in Eurozone economic activity. The Flash PMI slipped to 50.8, its lowest level for three months, compared with 52.2 in May. Manufacturing output dropped sharply to 46 from 49.3 in May, marking a sharp deterioration in business activity amid an accelerating fall in new orders.

The results of the European elections have raised serious concerns, while the early dissolution of the French National Assembly has further clouded the picture, with fears centring on the economic policies of the new government. As a result, many companies are putting orders and investment on hold.

In France, economic activity even fell for the second month in a row – more sharply than forecast. In Germany, the plunge in manufacturing activity, which halted the uptrend seen in recent months, is more worrying.

Stock indices ended the week in slightly positive territory, with the S&P 500 up 0.57%, the tech-focused Nasdaq gaining by 0.12% and the Stoxx 600 Europe putting on 0.79%.

 

Download the Flash boursier (pdf)

 

This document is provided for your information only. It has been compiledfrom information collected from sources believed to be reliable and up to date, with no warranty as to its accuracy or completeness.By their very nature, markets and financial products are subject to the risk of substantial losses which may be incompatible with your risk tolerance.Any past performance that may be reflected in this documentis not a reliable indicator of future results.Nothing contained in this document should be construed as professional or investment advice. This document is not an offer to you to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities or any other financial product of any nature, and the Bank assumes no liability whatsoever in respect of this document.The Bank reserves the right, where necessary, to depart from the opinions expressed in this document, particularly in connection with the management of its clients’ mandates and the management of certain collective investments.The Bank is a Swiss bank subject to regulation and supervision by the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA).It is not authorised or supervised by any foreign regulator.Consequently, the publication of this document outside Switzerland, and the sale of certain products to investors resident or domiciled outside Switzerland may be subject to restrictions or prohibitions under foreign law.It is your responsibility to seek information regarding your status in this respect and to comply with all applicable laws and regulations.We strongly advise you to seek independentlegal and financial advice from qualified professional advisers before taking any decision based on the contents of this publication.